BERLIN: Germans vote in three regional state elections on
Sunday, with Chancellor Angela Merkel's conservatives at risk of
setbacks that would weaken her just as she tries to push through a deal
to resolve Europe's migrant crisis.
Migration is the hot topic, as worry how Germany will cope
with an influx, totalling more than a million last year alone, that has
come to define Merkel's leadership, and on which she has staked her
reputation.
Merkel's conservative Christian Democrats (CDU) have been
losing support to the anti-immigration Alternative for Germany (AfD)
party, which has profited from the growing unease.
Asked at a campaign rally on Saturday how she was preparing for Sunday's results, Merkel said: "I'm crossing my fingers."
Polls indicate that the CDU will remain the biggest party in
Saxony-Anhalt, in former East Germany. In the west, it could be pipped
by the Greens in Baden-Wuerttemberg, where it is currently the largest
party. And in Rhineland-Palatinate, where the CDU came a close second
last time, the race is too close to call.
A failure to win at least two of the three states would be a
blow for Merkel just as she is trying to use her status as Europe's
most powerful leader to push through an EU deal with Turkey to stem the
tide of migrants.
The chancellor alarmed many European leaders at a summit
earlier this week by gambling on the last-minute draft deal with Turkey
to stop the migrant flow, and demanding their support.
Merkel still needs to seal the deal at another summit on
March 17-18. If her party performs poorly on Sunday, she will go into
that meeting weakened.
One of those draining support from Merkel's CDU is the AfD.
Already represented in five of Germany's 16 regional
parliaments, the anti-immigration party looks set to burst into three
more on Sunday, campaigning on slogans such as "Secure the borders" and
"Stop the asylum chaos".
Polls put the AfD's support as high as 19 percent in
Saxony-Anhalt, where the CDU and Social Democrats now govern in a 'grand
coalition' that mirrors Merkel's federal government.
If the AfD performs as well as the polls indicate, the
coalition partners may need to team up with a third party to assemble a
majority - one of a number of potential 'firsts' for German politics as
voter loyalties splinter.
(Editing by Kevin Liffey)
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