Two days of talks to resolve a worrisome US-China trade battle ended
Friday with no deal, but no breakdown either, offering a glimmer of hope
that Washington and Beijing could find a way to avert damage to the
global economy.
But the status remains tense after the United States followed through on
a threat to ramp up tariffs, and China vowed to retaliate, angering
many US businesses and farmers that are feeling the brunt of the impact
from the trade war.
President Donald Trump said Friday the talks will continue and a
decision on whether to pull back the punitive import duties will depend
on what progress is made.
"Over the course of the past two days, the United States and China have
held candid and constructive conversations on the status of the trade
relationship between both countries," Trump tweeted.
"The relationship between President Xi and myself remains a very strong one, and conversations into the future will continue."
The tariffs on China "may or may not be removed depending on what happens with respect to future negotiations!"
Chinese Vice Premier Liu He told reporters that the talks had gone "fairly well," according to Bloomberg.
Just after midnight, Washington pulled the trigger on an increase in
punitive duties on $200 billion in Chinese imports, raising them to 25
percent from 10 percent. Beijing responded vowing to take the "necessary
countermeasures."
The renewed hope cheered Wall Street, which had been under pressure all
week, and the benchmark Dow Jones Industrial Average recovered from a
loss of nearly 350 points to close with a gain of 117 points.
US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and US Trade Representative Robert
Lighthizer met for about two hours with Liu on Friday and then headed
for the White House to brief Trump, who had said he was in no hurry to
reach a deal, arguing the United States was negotiating from a position
of strength.
- From anger to hope -
Trump began the standoff because of complaints about unfair Chinese
trade practices. The United States is pressing China to change its
policies on protections for intellectual property, as well as massive
subsidies for state-owned firms, and to reduce the yawning trade
deficit.
After weeks of rising optimism about the chances for an agreement, the
tone out of the White House has veered from anger to nonchalance.
On May 5, Trump erupted on Twitter, saying the talks were progressing
"too slowly," accusing the Chinese of backing out of commitments and
announcing the tariff increase.
But in a series of early morning tweets Friday, he said there was "absolutely no need to rush."
Bloomberg quoted two sources saying Washington gave Beijing three to
four weeks more to reach an agreement before the Trump administration
moves to carry out a threat to impose tariffs on all Chinese imports.
The US leader continues to argue that tariffs could in some ways be preferable to reaching a trade deal.
"Tariffs will bring in FAR MORE wealth to our country than even a phenomenal deal of the traditional kind," Trump wrote.
Economists stress that duties are paid by US companies and consumers and
result in higher prices, while farmers and manufacturers complain about
the loss of markets for their exports due to retaliation from China and
other targets of Trump's trade wrath.
- 'No one wins' -
"NO ONE WINS A TRADE WAR," trade analyst Chad Bown of the Peterson Institute for International Economics said on Twitter.
Since last year, the United States and China have exchanged tariffs on
more than $360 billion in two-way trade, gutting US agricultural exports
to China and weighing on both countries' manufacturing sectors.
The higher duty rates imposed on Friday will hit a vast array of
Chinese-made electrical equipment, machinery, auto parts and furniture,
and will apply to goods that left port after midnight Washington time
(0400 GMT).
"While we are disappointed that the stakes have been raised, we
nevertheless support the ongoing effort by both sides to reach agreement
on a strong, enforceable deal that resolves the fundamental, structural
issues our members have long faced in China," said business lobby the
American Chamber of Commerce in China.
Oxford Economics estimates the "tariff punch" from all existing duties
will cut 0.3 percentage points off US growth and warns recession risks
are on the rise. Economists in China estimate a similar impact.
The International Monetary Fund has sounded the alarm that the conflict
and the loss of confidence it creates will have a wider impact on the
global economy and is a major risk to growth.
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